Four things that change the plan
Checked September 2026. Every figure below is linked to the institution that published it, with the period it refers to.
The EU and Chile Interim Trade Agreement entered into force on 1 February 2025 and eliminates tariffs on 99.9 per cent of EU exports to Chile. For a European exporter this is about as clean a market access position as Latin America offers. It also resets the competitive question, because every European competitor received the same thing on the same day. The advantage now sits in who moves first on channel and on people, not in the tariff line.
Chile's reputation for low friction does not survive contact with its environmental permitting. In 2025 a full environmental impact study averaged 790 days in evaluation and the lighter declaration averaged 304 days, with 77 per cent of projects exceeding the timeframe the legislation anticipates. On the same restated basis the 2024 figures were 776 and 325 days, so the heavy end got slower and more of everything overran, while the lighter declaration improved. Chile is predictable in the sense that contracts are enforced and procurement is clean. It is not fast. Anything that needs an environmental permit should be planned in years, not quarters.
Cochilco's mining investment portfolio for 2025 to 2034 is 104.5 billion dollars, of which 41 per cent is in execution, meaning approved, permitted and in detailed engineering, construction or commissioning. The remainder sits at feasibility, prefeasibility or conceptual engineering. Copper is 89.8 per cent of the total. A supplier who sizes the opportunity off the headline number is sizing a market that is mostly not yet funded. Sell into the 41 per cent and track the rest as a pipeline rather than as demand.
Selling to Codelco starts with registration, not with a bid. The supplier registry is administered by the Santiago Chamber of Commerce through the RedNegocios platform: you register, name Codelco as the contracting party along with your industrial categories, pay an annual fee and submit documentation within ten days. Registration then enables you in Codelco's purchasing portal, which runs on SAP Ariba. Codelco awards through open tenders, private tenders and direct negotiation, so registration is the gate to all three routes rather than to any one of them. Treat it as lead time, because it sits in front of the first opportunity rather than after it.
Sources
- Official Journal of the European Union, notice concerning the date of entry into force of the Interim Agreement on Trade between the European Union and the Republic of Chile, OJ L 2025/67. 13 January 2025.
- European Commission, Access2Markets, EU-Chile Interim Trade Agreement, for the 99.9 per cent of EU exports figure.
- Universidad San Sebastián, Índice de Costo Económico por Permisología, balance nacional 2025, built from SEIA case data. May 2026.
- Cochilco, Cartera de Proyectos de Inversión Minera en Chile, 2025-2034. December 2025.
- Codelco, Regístrese como proveedor, and Portal de Compras Codelco.